Novak Djokovic (@1.21) vs Matteo Berrettini (@4.5)
10-11-2019

Our Prediction:

Novak Djokovic will win

Novak Djokovic – Matteo Berrettini Match Prediction | 10-11-2019 09:00

Harsh: Medvedevs run, though impressive, could have been anticipated, Dimitrov has been a surprise package. Both players have big serves, but Medvedev is more consistent from the baseline and his linear shots causing considerable damage as Stan Wawrinka found out. Barring any fitness issues, Medvedev has the game and the belief to reach his maiden Grand Slam final. These two have split their previous two meetings, but that was back in 2017 and the Russian has come a long way since then. The Bulgarian is stepping it up in the big moments and it has been paying off.

The Pole had struggled since capturing his maiden title in Winston-Salem, but hes impressed so far in Shanghai. Hubert Hurkacz took their last hard-court meeting at the Rogers Cup, but Stefanos Tsitsipas had his revenge in Davis Cup action last month, winning handily albeit on a clay court. Somewhat surprisingly, this pair have met five times in the last twelve months. Against Zhang Zhizhen and Gael Monfils, he played aggressively off the front foot to pick up back-to-back straight-sets wins.

And Federers razor-sharp form could continue to be too much to handle for Goffin despite the early form shown in this tournament. There was a semi-final at the Japan Open last week and a fourth round at the US Open too but Goffin has found it difficult to overcome very high-ranked opponents. He was a 6-2, 6-3 winner over Richard Gasquet in the first round and then defeated Mikhail Kukushkin 6-2, 6-0 to make it to the third.

Berrettini is a first-timer and it might be tougher for him, especially having played a five-setter against Gael Monfils which is why Nadal should win the games handicap even at a minus eight. Just to put things in perspective, money on Nadal minus nine would have been a winner in his last round despite the obvious close nature of the fight.

H2H Dominic Thiem vs. Matteo Berrettini | Shanghai prediction, odds, preview

Nadal is extremely tough to beat in a best-of-five scenario and its almost impossible for players like Berrettini to redline their game over at least three sets. Damian: The Italian has the game to upset Nadal. However, the Spaniard is playing great and hes an excellent counterpuncher. His serve is extremely powerful and although slightly erratic, his forehand is very effective, particularly against short balls.

But, uncharacteristically for a Spaniard, he also thrives in faster conditions, largely due to the flat trajectory of his groundstrokes. However, in Shanghai, the serve is usually king and the Italian unquestionably has the edge in that department. Roberto Bautista Agut, in contrast, prefers to extend the rallies. The Spaniard lost to Berrettini twice on clay, but took their only hard court meeting in Doha this year. He reached the final in Shanghai in 2016, beating Novak Djokovic in the semifinals, and has enjoyed a career-best season, particularly at the Majors.

Rafael Nadal will know he will not get a better opportunity to win another US Open with Novak Djokovic and Roger Federer out and even the likes of common foes Juan Martin del Potro or Andy Murray around to challenge him, but he must not look past Matteo Berrettini to the final. The Italian has shown grit throughout this US Open campaign and has been part of four matches that have gone to at least four sets, including his epic fightback against Gael Monfils on Wednesday night. Berrettini must look to compatriot Fabio Fognini for inspiration; out-doing Rafas early intensity with your own is key, and if the Italian wins the first set, anything could happen.

But Djokovic looks like he means business in Shanghai and that spells trouble for Isner. But Djokovic is a cut above the Australian and the Frenchman. Isner will surely be hoping to get Djokovic into a tiebreak, having won six of the ten he has contested against the world #1. Isner has also been playing well. Djokovic defeated Denis Shapovalov comfortably in his opening match at the Shanghai Masters, defending superbly throughout. He is yet to face a break point and thundered a combined 37 aces past Alex De Minaur and Lucas Pouille.

The Russian is exceedingly difficult to play against thanks to his unorthodox shot selection and superb court coverage. Jim: Bulgarias Grigor Dimitrov scored surely the win of his life by battling past an ailing Federer in the quarterfinals. And though there have been concerns with fatigue, after two days of rest he should be more than fresh enough to see off Dimitrovs challenge. But he will be in for a tough day against Daniil Medvedev, who has found a rich vein of form this summer.

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The big-serving John Isner is a threat to almost anyone on tour. The American will thus be glad to be playing this match on a fast surface, but even that may not help him enough. Djokovics return is peerless and that allows him to neutralize Isners atomic serve, without which Isner cannot hope to live with the best in the sport. The reason is not too hard to find. But in recent years, there are few who have more success in rendering the giant American harmless than Novak Djokovic.

Holding serve will be crucial here. Expect him to do so once again in Shanghai. Neither Hurkacz nor Tsitsipas excel when returning, so both will need to seize what chances they get. Tsitsipas faced arguably a tougher test up against Felix Auger-Aliassime, but he scored his first win over the Canadian at the third attempt with a 7-6 7-6 victory. But the Pole has consistently shown an admirable ability to stand up to pressure and raise his level on the biggest stage.